Here's the lowdown. Elon Musk recently spoke with CleanTechnica about exactly this, stating, "Solar panel cost is only ~50 cents/Watt. Will You Be One of Them? The first is to accept that there's significant potential upside in these projects and accept them as part of the potential upside in the stock. The secrets behind Tesla's coveted roles, culture and recruiting. You're talking about more battery capacity for its EVs and also for its energy storage business. Youll have to take our word for this, but using a 7% discount rate calculates a present value for Tesla of $690.1bn. This was a negative cash position of $6.8 billion. According to research studies, it will cost anywhere from $10 to $18 for a full 295-mile charge, but we'll use the number $15.29, as per the study. Frankel: Sure. Your Tesla service needs might look more like software updates. I'm not about to open a short position in it. By submitting this form you agree to receive emails from FinanceBuzz and to the privacy Read on to find out more about how an 18 . The first stage is to take a guess at Teslas sales and profit. Of course, that's a debate whose resolution will matter to Tesla's valuation, so buying the stock makes sense if you are positive about it, while avoiding it is the right course if you are not. But is that really true? Follow the IPO calendar and keep an eye on exciting new investment opportunities. Tesla has had a pretty great decade over the past year, with the stock up absolutely enormously, but here's the thing about it. But even some of the most bullish Tesla investors think an $800 billion valuation is high. Both matter. Assuming the current 8 times sales multiple, that's a market cap of. They're worth over $800M currently based on market cap. Forgetting about the critical difference between Toyota's value . Is there room for music royalties in your dividend clump? I think that's really, really important. , like your driving profile and credit score, while the amount of your tax credit will depend on where you live. Given that most major carmakers are planning for higher than that, it's not unreasonable to use 33% in our 2032 future. Estimates for earnings in 2020 and 2021 have barely budged over the past . When it comes to the overall question of whether or not a Tesla is worth it, its important to take an honest look at your personal finances. Stepping out of our DeLorean, we now have a three-step process.. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. Freetrade is a trading name of Freetrade Limited, which is a member firm of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. This rise has brought the company's market cap to $11.8 billion; lofty. quotes delayed at least 15 minutes, all others at least 20 minutes. Some quick back-of-the-napkin math and the average cost to charge is approximately 5.18 cents per mile, or $5.18 per 100 miles. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Looking at factors like annual cost, gas savings, and even ongoing tax incentives, weve got the full scoop on all the incoming and outgoing cash flow associated with becoming a Tesla owner. Assuming you dont have $95,000 lying around and were to finance your Model S, it would look something like this. 156. r/TeslaModelY. **Includes initial cost of buying a charging station ($1,200) plus electricity to charge the vehicle for six years at $555 per year. Toyota has a little over $90 billion in total debt, while Tesla has $13 billion. But a lot of that will depend on how you personally drive and maintain your vehicles. 2022 InvestorPlace Media, LLC. Tesla bulls will argue that the optimistic scenarios we suggest are not just plausible, they are probable. His life has been ruined by tesladdiction; all he does is drive his Tesla. *Based on a 2.49% APR for fair to excellent credit and down payment of approximately 9%. 1: a strong and harmful need to regularly have something (such as a Tesla) or do something (such as drive a Tesla) He has a tesladdiction; he drives 12 hours a day. Tesla is not immune from these challenges. However, the company deserves to trade at somewhat of an earnings premium to auto stocks if it can continue to outgrow them. Im expecting TSLA stock to continue to drift back down slowly to a more reasonable valuation over the next year or so. Tesla has its solar businessmixed success and allit has its battery pack business, and it has its services business. They're fast, environmentally friendly, and come packed with high-tech features. FinanceBuzz.com does not make any credit decisions. But if youre looking for a more affordable electric vehicle, you might consider the Nissan Leaf or the BMW Mini Cooper SE. best car insurance For . Without a regular engine that involves things like oil changes and fuel filters, you wont need to bring your car into the shop very often. when your invest at least $1. The federal tax credit for Tesla used to be impressive, but that big $7,500 tax credit was phased out for Tesla buyers as of January 1, 2020, leaving buyers with only the tax credits being offered by their state. Youre reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fools Premium Investing Services. You could also choose to invest in Tesla (TSLA) on the stock market or any other number of environmentally friendly companies. Learn more about how we make money and our editorial policies. It plans to sell 20,000 Model S. The legacy automakers have an average forward price-earnings ratio of 5.1. While it's important not to get too caught up in a few weak quarters of production, a failure to meet production targets would have a financial effect, and that will get baked into valuations. And with an ever-growing trend toward buying electric vehicles and reducing emissions, you wouldnt be the only one wondering Reuters/Darren Staples. If what a Tesla costs doesnt seem financially feasible, youre not alone. On December 13, Louis Navellier, Eric Fry & Luke Lango will reveal the major events that could rock the markets in 2023. See the most popular investments with a breakdown of the most traded stocks and most popular ETFs on Freetrade. These. By averaging out Teslas 82.7% forward earnings multiple premium, its 1.7% PS premium and its 81.2% FCF premium, Tesla may be overvalued by roughly 55%. Based on that premise, TSLA stock is roughly in line with tech peers based on sales. If we kept everything else the same, our calculated fair value today would be much higher. ( The back view especially is a bummer) Interiors are very mediocre. States like California, Colorado, Delaware, and even Maine are currently leading the way in offering generous tax incentives for new Tesla owners, but theres quite a bit of variation from state to state. Tesla delivered more than 367,500 cars last year - up 50% from 2018. Jason Hall: All right, let's talk about Tesla talking about divisive stocks. money mistakes Because I was seeking to save money and not spend more, I opted for the less elite version of solar panels they offered. You could look at that as a positive if youre buying a new Tesla and think its good for a car to hold its value. We strive to provide up-to-date information, but make no warranties regarding the accuracy of our information. FinanceBuzz and CardRatings may receive a commission from card issuers. See Public.com/disclosures/. Facebook, Amazon and Alphabet have an average forward earnings multiple of 29.5 compared to Teslas 53.9 multiple. After driving it for two years, the answer is unequivocally a yes. Now we want to disrupt vehicle ownership and participate in the future of how people even utilized vehicles and participate in those future cash flows as people use a vehicle that they don't even own and we manage the fleet as Tesla and we get a share of that. This is the company that has easily been the biggest disruptor in the automotive industry since the automotive industry disrupted the horse and buggy. It is a hard to find the product because it was just released a few . *Stock Advisor returns as of November 20, 2020. *Average returns of all recommendations since inception. But before Tesla fans crack open the champagne, this figure is 10 years from now and needs to be converted into today's value. These people, like their CEO, are absolutely driven, and relentless. There's an investment case for buying Tesla stock that isn't overly focused on these two debates. But while Elon dances at gigafactories, investors are looking into the future and wondering how many cars the company could actually sell down the line. That's the challenging news. The Tesla model S 100 D, which is a car I drive is without a doubt the best car I've ever driven. It's over 10x GM, Ford, 8x Daimler, nearly 3x Toyota, etc. Of course, the actual price for a car will depend on the features and upgrades you select. is $1,200. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. Tesla is worth more than three times as much as Toyota (TM), the second most valuable automaker, which has a market cap of about $280 billion, and boasts sales and profits that dwarf those of. Learn More. But the stock has a 52-week trading range of between $176.99 and $968.99. Frankel: They can raise $5 billion, I think is what they just announced recently, and they're doing that with less than 1% dilution. According to the home repair experts at Fixr, the how to invest in Tesla Yet, for now, the most expensive Tesla electric vehicle model on the market is the 2022 Tesla Model X, which has a hefty sticker price of $109,690.Meanwhile, the Plaid trim level of the Model X, with enhanced quality and performance perks . Both are material. Join. But when it comes to describing exactly what this self-driving program entails, Tesla's description isn't the most comprehensive. Actual amounts could vary based on vehicle options, taxes, and registration fees. As such, they are more likely to happen. Another variable to keep in mind is the Tesla has launched its own insurance coverage that claims to offer lower premiums than mainstream insurers, but it is only available in California at this time. Its deliveries . While this annual savings is significant, its important to note that Tesla's arent entirely immune to car troubles. So, you don't have to be wealthy to get a $46,990 Model 3. How much in debt is Tesla? Lets take a closer look at these auto companies. The value of investments can go up as well as down and you may receive back less than your original investment. Registered in England and Wales (no. Depending on which state you live in, the tax credit might be as much as $2,500, although it could also be less or nothing at all. With any other car - short maybe a Lamborghini Veneno - that revelation would hardly elicit a second thought. Starting with long-term growth projects, when a CEO speaks, investors listen. Valuing stocks is difficult enough at the best of times, but it's a lot harder in Tesla's (TSLA 3.23%) case. Wayne Duggan has been a U.S. News & World Report Investing contributor since 2016 and is a staff writer at Benzinga, where he has written more than 7,000 articles. Statista reports that Tesla accounted for around. Nikola Tesla - 21 Motivational Quotes That are Really Worth Listening To. Im guessing the Tesla mania will dissipate in a similar manner that the 2017 bitcoin bubble did. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close. All it took to stop the months-long Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) rally was a global outbreak of a deadly disease. stock or considering swapping out your current vehicle for a brand new Tesla Model S. But despite how convenient and attractive these cars may be, the question often comes down to this: Is buying a Tesla worth it? Nope. June 10, 2013, 11:04 AM Tesla Motors has had a meteoric rise in 2013, driven by a surprise profit in the first quarter. F.S.D., which can be purchased as an extra on Tesla cars, is a collection of services that add . The Tesla battery warranty will cover you for the first eight years or 150,000 miles, whichever comes first, so you dont have to worry about this expense in the short term. All told, investors should focus on the underlying fundamentals of the business. The number one question is whether or Tesla's solar panels are worth it. electrek.co. DEBT. Frankel: That's crazy. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close. Tesla routinely tops searches for both retail and institutional investors according to our proprietary data, so what is it really worth? In fact, it would be almost magically identical to the current market value of $1.1tn. Market manias often hit a stock like a tsunami and then die down slowly one or two drips at a time. According to a number of Tesla owners, Tesla FSD is not worth it because: It does not work perfectly. in order to save money on one of the costs that is known to be higher with this vehicle. Figuring out the true value of TSLA stock is critical in determining where its ultimate equilibrium point will be. Its P/FCF ratio of 60.9 is also more than 10 times higher than the other automakers. Trading on 44 times Wall Street analyst estimates for free cash flow in 2024, Tesla certainly isn't a cheap stock unless you believe the company can maintain its dominant market position in EVs and continue to expand profit margin as it ramps production in the coming years. As you can see from the numbers, a Tesla Model 3 and a Toyota Camry are much closer cost-wise than the luxury Model S and the Tesla might even pull ahead after a few more years of use. Its PS ratio of 5.7 is about 10. Again, not so fast. The final step is to convert the future value into the present and compare it to the current market value. BONUS: Use the link below and you'll get $10 in free stock ? And it establishes that Tesla is a real, honest-to-goodness established automaker. And there's nothing that comes even close to comparing it. On the other hand, the Tesla Model S has an electric charge cost of $0.037 per mile (which is roughly the cost youd pay to charge your Tesla at home), which puts you at $555 to drive the same distance of 15,000 miles. The tool appraises vehicles dating back to 1990, so if you own a classic car, this method will not work. | Silver Quotes_____Copyright Di. Estimates of TSLA's current market share vary. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. The company is the clear leader in electric vehicles, recently was added to the S&P 500, and has tons of cash to ramp up its operations. That's the big thing. The second argument is slightly nuanced, but bear with me. average cost of installing a home charging station Morgan Stanley recently said Tesla's services business was actually. For example, some states only offer the incentive for vehicles above or up to a certain purchase price. A Tesla comes with a luxury price tag and isnt a car thats considered to be affordable for most Americans. The company is the clear leader in electric vehicles, recently was added to the S&P 500, and has tons of cash to ramp up its. Teslas P/FCF of 60.9 is way above the big tech average of 33.6. Whether or not a Tesla is worth it to you comes down to your personal finances, and how important it is for you to own an electric vehicle. That's before considering what the Optimus business might be worth. Mr. Duggan is the author of the book Beating Wall Street With Common Sense, which focuses on investing psychology and practical strategies to outperform the stock market. Elon Musk, as much as he gets credit for being so innovative, I don't think he gets enough credit for his financial savvy for being willing to issue equity to raise a ton of cash. For example, there are Oftentimes, these quotes come in with much lower prices than what you will find with any other installer. This is mostly guesswork. So I tend to try to hunt for bargains. What Is Tesla Worth without Government SubsidiesNow that Tesla's most recent numbers are out it may be time to revisit what the company is worth. ". ", On Tesla's robotaxi in development: "We do a product event for robotaxi next year and get into more detail, but we are aiming for volume production in 2024. David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now and Tesla wasn't one of them! What Is Tesla Motors Worth? The innovative EV leader is clearly a great company, but it isn't cheap. If you can afford a Tesla, and live in a place with charging stations,then this investment might be worth it. Share. Tesla has got a lot of money to spend. Say you drive your Camry 15,000 miles per year. With a view of what sales might be, investors can take a stab at valuing the future Tesla, and convert that into today's price. I don't understand why. The value of Tesla has increased by 550% in one year; shares that were trading for $86 each in early January are now worth almost $550, and perhaps even higher when you are listening to this episode! This puts you at a monthly payment of roughly $1,365, which over that six-year term would amount to paying a total of $107,765 ($98,265 loan repayment plus $9,500 down payment) for your new Model S. Something to keep in mind here is that this number only includes estimated state tax for Arizona, and does not include local tax, title, registration, and other potential fees. In addition to being better for the environment than your typical gas-powered sedan, these cars have also become a bit of a status symbol,especially given their cost. Theres also the top-of-the-line Tesla Model X, which will set you back a whopping $104,990 at the minimum. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.*. previous post. Copyright What is Tesla really worth? Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.Eligibility to invest into an ISA and the value of tax savings depends on personal circumstances and all tax rules may change.Freetrade is a trading name of Freetrade Limited, which is a member firm of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Tesla is a luxury car brand. Why Investors Should Bet $100 on MMAT Stock. Although thats actually a little shy of Wall Street guesstimates, its 70% up on the same time last year.. Do you guys think the Tesla Model Y at 70K now (I am looking at the performance model ) is really worth the money? In the latest quarter, GM reported a 19.7% drop in revenue. Still, is Tesla really worth more than Toyota? Is renewable energy something that is of utmost importance to you and something youre willing to pay a premium to support? It's the first (somewhat) affordable electric car that has a decent rangeand yet you can still charge it at home from a 110v outlet. FinanceBuzz is an informational website that provides tips, advice, and recommendations to help you make financial decisions. Tesla: What Is It Really Worth? There are examples of older Teslas that are still going strong with their original battery pack at 300,000 and 500,000 miles, though their miles of range per charge is lower. I still think it's a wonderful business, and I would never bet against Elon Musk. Wall Street analysts estimate revenue will grow 26% this year, accelerate further in 2021, and then taper off into 2022. It was the week when Elon Musk soared past Bill Gates to become the world's second richest person, as Tesla's value topped $500bn. (Except for the panoramic sunroof ) Imagine a 5 year gas free ride (best case scenario) . Instead, just simply stay on the sidelines. On the other, there's the near-term debate around Tesla meeting its production aims in 2022 in the face of supply interruptions and COVID-19-related shutdowns in China. This method lets you build wealth without needing a ton of money or forking over your entire paycheck. What Is Tesla Really Worth? Tesla is one of the most valued and successful car brands globally . Assuming TSLA holds a 20% share, then in our future it will sell roughly 9m cars. Tesla solar panels at a glance Tesla solar panels cost about $2.30 per watt before the federal solar tax credit is applied. Free stock offer valid for U.S. residents 18+. Whichever is the case, it's probably a mistake to get too excited about Tesla's more speculative growth prospects, at least if you are likely to price them in prematurely. We've disrupted the buy and service side of the industry with vertical integration. Third, more conservative investors could exclude any potential upside in robotaxis, FSD, or Optimus in favor of simply focusing on the potential in theelectric vehicle (EV) business. If you own a less fuel-efficient vehicle, then youd be spending even more. A few weeks ago, I put a deposit down on a new car: an electric Tesla Model X. Facebook, Amazon and Google have averaged 22.5% growth. Invest better with The Motley Fool. CEO Elon Musk's statements on the last earnings call will be factored into how some investors feel about the stock. This drove up the price of Tesla shares to $1,114.00 as of the time of writing this story.Keep in mind that market capitalization is the market value of a company based on its share price multiplied by share numbers. Tesla shares are overvalued relative to both auto and tech stocks. They have an average price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio of 0.53 and an average price-to-sales ratio of 0.345. The stock trades at a forward PE of 53.9. I'm not ready to jump into Tesla at this valuation. For some people that aspect will count for more than a difference in the price tag. Imagine instead of EVs being 33% of all cars in 10 years they are 50%. Tesla on Friday reported that it delivered 184,800 vehicles and produced 180,338 cars in the first quarter of 2021. Toyota has been worth a lot for a long time. Abracadabra, once again the calculated value would be pretty much the same as todays $1.1tn. We ran these numbers over a six-year period (the typical amount of time people keep new cars), meaning everything you see here includes your expenses for the first six years of ownership. Unfortunately, ongoing component shortages (notably semiconductors), the war in Ukraine and its effect on automotive supplies (for example, copper wiring harnesses from Ukraine and palladium from Russia), and lockdowns in China have reduced estimates for light vehicle production (LVP) in 2022. 'You're being too rational!' I've done some back-of-the-envelope calculations. The next is to assign a stock market multiple to the forecast profit to give us a theoretical future value for the company. To make the world smarter, happier, and richer. , preferred loan term length, and down payment. Today the average price of a Tesla car is around $60,000. Will your money be safe? With average gas prices currently hovering around $3.39 per gallon, youll spend $1,589 in gas just to drive your Camry. Similarly, it's also a mistake to get too worried if the company doesn't hit its production target for 2022. Thats 40% lower than today's $1.1tn. Tesla had started 2017 with $3.4 billion in cash but had $10.2 billion in debt. Tesla making a profit for the entire 2020 year made headlines. That's the thing that the idea is. Or does it make the list of big 3 Warren Buffett Dividend Stocks That Generate Monster Passive Income, Join Nearly 1 Million Premium Members And Get More In-Depth Stock Guidance and Research, the automotive industry is facing right now, have lowered full-year guidance and suffered production setbacks, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information, "Optimus ultimately will be worth more than the car business, worth more than FSD. five years of maintenance on a Tesla Model S Known for its eccentric CEO and a passion for revolutionizing energy consumption, Tesla has been . Upon review of the Tesla's Solar Roof, there are some really great things and some not so great things. So, yes, the fuel savings with a Tesla is significant. See, Access to more than 1,500 stocks, including the most popular shares and ETFs, Full range of over 6,000 US, UK and EU stocks and ETFs, 1% on uninvested cash, up to a maximum of 2,000, 3% on uninvested cash, up to a maximum of 4,000. 09797821). Last updated The Tesla Model 3 is the company's most affordable vehicle, followed by the Tesla Model Y Long Range crossover, and the sporty Model S sedan. It is way overvalued based on earnings and free cash flow. These numbers assume an excellent credit score and are based on the auto loan rates offered via the Tesla order page as of November 2021, for a buyer located in Arizona. Unlike regular gas-powered cars, Teslas are pretty different when it comes to maintenance. And while you might not actually save money when buying a Tesla compared to some vehicles,its hard to put a price on owning an electric vehicle. A beginners guide to how to invest in the stocks market to help you get to grips with the basics of buying and selling shares. We continue to see Tesla as uniquely engaged in a positive sum-game in the EV transition against legacy OEMs facing more severe strategic choices, he said. But a Tesla Model S depreciated by only 36.3%. Price as of December 9, 2022, 4:00 p.m. This provides a beautiful aesthetic, but comes at a hefty price tag. As the business grows, so will its capital requirements. 09797821). This is due in part to their potentially higher repair costs because of the out-of-the-norm components like the electrical system and aluminum frame. If the size of your tax break is a critical factor in whether or not a Tesla is worth it for you, then be sure you do the research on what is available in your state. What is Tesla worth? And unlike many electric vehicles which tend to depreciate rapidly in value Teslas tend to depreciate less than the average. No one really knows what will happen but these exercises can be very useful to gauge some sense of how the market is thinking about the companys future.. Make sure you know what numbers really matter before buying Tesla stock. It's going to have to spend billions and billions of dollars to grow its manufacturing footprint, whether you're talking about its international expansion to build more vehicles. The company trades at a top-heavy forward PE ratio of 58, with an equally . ", Regarding the technical capability for FSD: "And I think we will achieve that this year. Many people consider buying a Tesla because they think the fuel savings might equate to overall savings. Even ARK's . What's next? It has forecast sales of about 500,000 this year and analysts project that Tesla could hit two million by 2030. you want will also impact your insurance premiums, but according to some estimates, the average cost to insure a Tesla Model S is $3,673 per year, whereas insurance for a new Toyota Camry only comes out to $2,200 per year. There's no other automakers that could even do anything close to that. Personally, I believe the fact that Teslas revenue growth has been slightly negative overall in the past two quarters makes it closer to its auto peers than its tech peers. A lightning pace of growth matching the soaring stock price. 2: an unusually great interest in something or a need to do or have something. The fact that the market may well be pricing in some of Tesla's exciting growth programs means they are more likely to happen. It's proven that it has the ability to raise capital. That is a huge advantage. Tam said: You can show Tesla's slide during the Autonomous Day indicating "Net present value of a single Robotaxi" is about $200,000: "Speaking at a closed-door investors event in Palo Alto on Monday, Musk laid out the math: The average Tesla car is currently parked for 22 hours per day. At the end of the day, I find it difficult to find any peer group for Tesla that makes the stock seem anything but significantly overvalued. Tesla cars also tend to be on the pricey side, with the cheapest 2020 Model 3 retailing for $37,990. Should You Buy the 5 Highest-Paying Dividend Stocks in the S&P 500? Subject to account approval. Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois recently downgraded TSLA stock, but not because he doesnt believe in Teslas opportunity. Freetrade does not provide investment advice and individual investors should make their own decisions or seek independent advice. Could you carve out a path to the magical million? The value of your portfolio, and any income you receive, can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you invest. Some people just really want to build castles in the air, while the firm foundationists like simplywallst will argue the fundamentals dont justify any such thing, especially from discounted cash flow perspective.Even at the recommendation price for Tesla at 80USD by MF, I will bet did not satisfy firm foundation fundamentals at the time too. It also means you can diversify your portfolio and protect yourself against losing money much quicker than ever before. The design is completely amazing. Matthew Frankel, CFP has the following options: short January 2022 $830 calls on Tesla and long January 2022 $880 calls on Tesla. Youre reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fools Premium Investing Services. According to CNBC, Tesla reported $13.76 billion in revenue $150 million above Refinitiv expectations and about 57% more than the year before. Can you afford the start-up costs of a home charging station? However, given the mania surrounding the stock and its large outstanding short position, I continue to recommend investors not to short the stock. The company managed to reach $500 billion market value after news broke that it was going to be included in the S&P 500 index of leading companies. Bank of America has an underperform rating and $370 price target for TSLA stock. Thats because Public offers a new method of investing with something called fractional shares a fancy term that just means you can buy pieces of those thousand dollar stocks with as little as one buck. FinanceBuzz is reader-supported. To make the world smarter, happier, and richer. As of this writing, Wayne Duggan does not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Buzzery, LLC NMLS ID # 2317173 NMLS Consumer Access. There's no doubt about it. After just 305,000 units produced in the first quarter, and Musk saying "the most likely vehicle production in Q2 will be similar to Q1, maybe slightly lower," Tesla will be under pressure to ramp production to around 900,000 in the second half to potentially meet the 1.5 million target. policy and terms. We look at the most popular buys on the Alternative Investment Market. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services. Many insurance policies tend to characterize Teslas as luxury vehicles and charge higher premiums to insure them. But lets not forget about the cost of installing a charging station in your home, which you are likely to do as opposed to just relying on the Tesla Supercharger network. This price tag has the potential to be a lot more, especially given the add-ons Tesla offers to their base models, but lets keep it simple and stick to this number. And remember, owning an electric vehicle isnt the only way to be more environmentally conscious with your money. 129. Given the importance of LVP to the auto sector, a slew of auto-related companies have lowered full-year guidance and suffered production setbacks. Teslas PS of 5.7 is slightly above the big tech average of 5.6. Wharton's David Erickson offers some insights in this . Tesla has the highest market capitalization globally, with a valuation of about $60 billion. 1 There are around 90m cars sold worldwide, and the number of EV cars is growing rapidly. Tesla has already proven that it has a knack for upscale styling and for the details that matter to luxury-sport-sedan buyers. Assuming Tesla can actually buck this trend, it would need to drive demand at a heavy annual rate to get there. Time to pop the corks again because this would yield a value 40% above the current market level. Step one (future Tesla sales and profits) There are around 90m cars sold worldwide, and the number of EV cars is growing rapidly. Making the world smarter, happier, and richer. While the price of a single share can vary widely depending on how much stock is out there, market cap allows you to compare the market value of one company vs. another a handy tool for people . In other words, Teslas growth rate suggests comparisons to big tech peers may be more appropriate than comparisons to auto companies. In fact, when your cars battery pack eventually needs a replacement, it could run you anywhere from $12,000 to $16,000. But unlike bitcoin, Tesla shares actually have some inherent value, especially if the company continues to turn a profit. Many Tesla owners say that the Model 3 is a potential life-ruiner, but not in the way you're probably thinking. Millions of People Will Be Blindsided in 2023. However, all of that comes at a price - a Tesla will cost you nearly twice as much as a Ford or Chevy. According to statistics gurus at IHS Markit, by 2030 around 25% of all car sales will be EVs. Invest better with The Motley Fool. Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2020/03/how-much-is-tsla-stock-actually-worth/. [laughs]. The stock trades at a forward PE of 53.9. Price as of December 9, 2022, 4:00 p.m. The 2023 Tesla Roadster is expected to carry a price tag that exceeds $200,000, a far cry from the $44,990 starting price for the 2022 Tesla Model 3 EV. Implying Tesla stock is fairly priced. Important InformationThis should not be read as personal investment advice and individual investors should make their own decisions or seek independent advice.When you invest, your capital is at risk. According to fans on Reddit, this luxury vehicle is apparently so good that it will make you never want any other kind of car. Their main concern was the Summon and Autopark, which they claimed did not work perfectly. Was it worth buying a Tesla? Just to put that into context: Tesla is now worth more than Toyota, Volkswagen, Hyundai, GM and Ford put together. Or you might see it as a negative if youre looking for a sweet deal on a not-too-old Model S. Typically, yes, it will cost more to insure a Tesla vehicle. After months of rallying hundreds of percent on relatively little fundamental news, TSLA stock has pulled back from their all-time highs of $968.99 to below $730. These are not the issues that will decide Tesla's valuation over the long term, and there's enough in its car business to get excited about. It could be less expensive than other luxury vehicles, but its more expensive than a Toyota Camry, for example. For the first time in my life, I spent over $100,000 for a car. The good news is Tesla has about $15 billion in cash, has more cash than debt. But it's a great business. Assuming you have good credit and are able to finance your new car at the current rates of 2.49% APR for 72 months, with roughly 10% as a down paymentthis is what the price breakdown between the two vehicles looks like. To get a ballpark idea of what Tesla Motors Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) could be worth we need to look at production plans and eventual profits. Tesla reported a 2.1% revenue increase. Theres no doubt about it, Tesla is making some great vehicles in the electric space. Just to put that into context: Tesla is now worth more than Toyota, Volkswagen, Hyundai, GM and Ford put together. In this Fool Live video clip,recorded on Jan. 25,Fool.com contributors Matt Frankel, CFP, and Jason Hall discuss Tesla's progress, competitive advantages, and that lofty valuation. Tesla's valuation crossed $100 billion just before CEO Elon Musk announced a $2 billion stock offering. " [Tesla] from the outside appears to be an exciting young company to follow and work for," a current employee said via Indeed. 10 stocks we like better than TeslaWhen investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. Tesla reported a 2.1% revenue increase. So a little more guesswork is required. 0. While many car companies advertise low APRs if you go through their finance department, your interest rate will ultimately depend on your personal profile as a borrower, which will include items such as your So a breakout is needed in order really to demonstrate the company's worth. Other states limit which model Tesla they offer incentives for. It's not a big mental leap to imagine a baby Tesla that delivers. The Situation In Emerging Markets. If you drive 60 miles per day or less - you can fully recharge overnight on 110v. It has no PEG ratio because it is not profitable over the past four quarters. Fast forward four years and Tesla is in a much better financial position. Tesla stock has a sky-high valuation, much to the delight of bulls and the disgust of bears.The companynow with a market capitalization near $900 billionis worth roughly three times Toyota . Other car companies trade on a multiple closer to 10x EBITDA. Related posts. There are three ways to think about this. Mounting hardware, inverter and wiring is ~25 cents/Watt. Speaking of traditional automakers, despite any hiccups, Tesla's market cap (the total value of the company on the open market) has nearly doubled that of Toyota the former most valuable. It generated $4 billion in operating cash over the past 12 months. The company is the clear leader in electric vehicles, recently was added to the S&P 500, and has tons of cash to ramp up. There's a lot of irons in the fire here. But Tesla loses money on every single car it has ever made. But should investors be overly focused on them? Frankel: In my mind, their biggest competitive advantage right now is that valuation. The great debate around Tesla is whether it is a cash-cow auto stock or a high-growth tech stock. ET, 2 Stocks Down 19% to 51% to Buy Right Now, These 5 Stocks Are Falling Fast to End 2022, A Shocking Change at Tesla Is a Warning for Investors, 1 Electric Vehicle Stock to Buy Hand Over Fist and 1 With Serious Red Flags. Making the world smarter, happier, and richer. It has no PEG ratio because it is not profitable over the past four quarters. Its PS ratio of 5.7 is about 10 times higher than the legacy automakers. Tesla has one of the most advanced autopilot programs in the automotive industry. Their EV cars are great, but they're delivering a fraction of the inventory (241k last quarter vs 447k for GM - again, worth 1/10 as much). Thats not totally unreasonable given that most major car companies are targeting these levels for production. Telsa just announced it delivered 310,000 cars during the first quarter. Toyota's is more than $300 billion, while Tesla's is less than $200 billion. Tesla installs their own solar panels that range in size from 395 W to 430 W. Tesla's performance warranty is slightly below industry standards, but their product warranty is better than what many solar panel brands offer. Fuel and energy costs will also depend on where you live, as well as how energy prices evolve over time. How much is the company worth? Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has quite a bit for investors to be excited about. *Average returns of all recommendations since inception. According to the automotive search engine ISeeCars.com, which analyzed the sales of off-lease cars , the average new sedan (with either electric or internal combustion engines) depreciates by 39% in the first three years, while electric vehicles depreciate at a rate of 52% in three years. The stock plunged a massive 40% year-to-date, with Musk claiming that Bill Gates has a "multi-billion dollar" short position in the company. Learn More. But even if we calculate that station into the fuel cost, it only takes two years of driving for the Tesla to still come out on top: *Includes initial cost of buying a charging station ($1,200) plus electricity costs. 4 Social Security Changes Joe Biden Wants to Make: Is 2023 the Year They Become Reality? Like any used car, buying a used Tesla will come with its own unique set of challengeslike ensuring the car and its powerhouse battery pack are still in good working condition, which might be difficult to do. Whether or not you save money with a Tesla really depends on what other vehicle youre comparing it to. When it goes on sale, the new Tesla Roadster will be the most expensive model with an estimated purchase price of around $200,000. Over the years, Tesla owners have paid as much as $10,000 for the package, called Full Self-Driving. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Apparently, they have never been able to get Autopark to work ever since . If car sales grow by 3% a year (rough estimate of global GDP growth), then in 10 years the worlds carmakers will ship 133m cars. We've disrupted the industry. Well, I think Tesla would be crazy to not raise money at these valuations. It is much higher in the US, for example, than in other parts of the world. Lets say you were to buy a Model S at the starting price of $94,990. The Tesla Model 3 is the companys most affordable vehicle, followed by the Tesla Model Y Long Range crossover, and the sporty Model S sedan. While the exact cost of insuring your Tesla will depend on your state and the model you buy, as well as your personal driving history, insurance rates have typically been higher for Teslas than other vehicles. Some drivers reported that the Full Self-Drive (FSD) does not work perfectly. Net income of $1.62 billion was 388% more than . Nasdaq But this doesn't clearly reflect the true reason Tesla is worth a trillion dollars. But here's the other thing. In addition, the repair costs for electric vehicles and aluminum-framed vehicles tend to be higher. InvestingChannel October 24, 2018 March 10, 2022. Halted Stocks Alert: Why Did FINRA Halt MMTLP Stock? But is the high price tag actually worth it? . There's also the top-of-the-line Tesla Model X, which will set you back a whopping $104,990 at the minimum. Which Tesla vehicles can be appraised: Just about every Tesla is covered. Another thing to keep in mind here is that there are a lot of variables that go into calculating these totals. He rates TSLA stock as a hold with a price target of $800. What. In the past four quarters, Tesla has averaged 21.5% year-over-year revenue growth. The shares sold were worth $3.95 billion and were likely used as a part of the permanent financing package to fund Musk's acquisition of Twitter, which closed Oct. 28." As for the long-term outlook for Tesla stock, the third-party forecasting service Wallet Investor has estimated a Tesla 5-year forecast of $624.57 a share. The business can live within its own means. Auto peers include General Motors (NYSE:GM), Ford (NYSE:F) and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU). According to statistics gurus at IHS Markit, by 2030 around 25% of all car sales will be EVs. They have an average price-to-free cash flow ratio of 6.3. Before diving into whether or not Tesla's really worth hundreds of billions of dollars, it's important to look at what people generally think of when it comes to a company's "worth.". With Public, you can start investing in companies like Apple, Amazon, Tesla, Nike, and Google with just $1. That's so, so smart, because the company is going to spend every bit of that and more to develop its infrastructure in the next couple of years. Looking at the firm's valuation metrics today, it's easy to see why some people might be losing faith in the business. From a profit perspective, the company currently generates a profit before interest, tax,, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) margin of 17%.. Financial Market Data powered by FinancialContent Services, Inc. All rights reserved. Here's why: Advertisement. Registered in England and Wales (no. But thats stock markets for you. . I think it's pretty easy to see that and to miss if you're not already a Tesla bull and you haven't been rewarded with that. On paper, Tesla is worth more than Toyota, Volkswagen, General Motors, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, Nissan and Daimler combined. That price target is based on Houchois belief that Tesla will be a big long-term winner in the EV market. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. 'You're being too rational!' I've done some back-of-the-envelope calculations. Even the Tesla bulls, no one can really make the case that it's a bargain right now. If you feel you can afford it, a Tesla might be a great option for your next new car, especially if you want to take advantage of unique features like the Autopilot and Full Self-Driving capabilities. However convinced we are about the Tesla equity opportunity, we still need valuation to be grounded into some visibility on market size and potential profitability, Houchois said in the downgrade note. This is the fifth largest company in the S&P 500, valued at more than $800 billion. Honey by Freetrade daily market news, Monday - Friday, The Weekend Read weekly deep dive into investing, Saturday, Made with in London, Stockholm, Brisbane and Vancouver, Commission-free trades (other charges may apply. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Tesla. We've changed automobiles. If the market is awarding Tesla a high valuation and the company can quickly raise capital cheaply, then it's easier for Tesla to invest in these projects. "Tesla shares are in our view, and by virtually every conventional. Compensation may impact where offers appear. Tesla (TSLA 3.23%) has quite a bit for investors to be excited about. This would yield a future company value of $1.36tn, roughly 30% higher than todays level. Given that most major carmakers are planning for higher than that, it's not unreasonable to use 33% in our 2032 future. Really, it's the first all-new car manufacturer to survive since before WWII. Ford reported a 4.9% drop in revenue and Fiat reported a 0.5% increase in revenue. If you keep the car for an extended time period, will you be prepared for the cost of the eventual battery replacement? This - on the back of $3.2 billion in profits generated last year, thanks to the sustained average selling price of $75,000 per vehicle - pushed the company's stock over $1,150/share for the first time last week, making Tesla worth more than $130 billion in market cap, three times the size of Ford. Copyright 2022 InvestorPlace Media, LLC. Tesla makes an estimated profit of over $14 billion per year with around $10 billion. I'm a value investor at heart. On the one hand, there's excitement around the company's long-term growth projects. Tesla ( TSLA 2.16%) has quite a bit for investors to be excited about. ET Investors might not be focused on what really matters at the car company.. 4 Social Security Changes Joe Biden Wants to Make: Is 2023 the Year They Become Reality? It's pretty easy to miss. Ultimately, you are responsible for your financial decisions. Tesla cars are certainly cool, there's no doubt about that. If it all pans out, even at today's valuation, Tesla's future could be very, very bright, but we'll have to see how it goes, guys, right? 50% of all cars are EVs in 2032 and Tesla has a 30% share. What makes the Tesla Model 3 price worth it? Before I get a bunch of angry comments, by no means do I believe a TSLA stock price target of $326 is accurate. On the other hand, Motor1 estimates that credit score Of course, the actual price for a car will depend on the features and upgrades you select. to be $4,981, an average of $996 per year. Black Friday Volume Misses Expectations. Here's the 1 Social Security Change in 2023 That's Going to Hurt the Worst. The Tesla Model 3 is much less expensive than other Tesla models, such as the Model S and Model X, which currently start at about $104,990 and $120,990, respectively. Automotive website Motor1 estimates the It is too high because it reflects the rapid growth people expect. Even if we consider the fuel cost of a relatively fuel-efficient and similarly sized car like the Toyota Camry, which gets roughly 32 MPG on average, the savings in this category are pretty significant. You have to remember this is a company that has its Powerwall, not just in people's houses, but also commercial and also utility scale. Tesla still has the solar roof business that it's trying to develop and trying to turn into the next disruptor for residential solar that it still has to spend a lot of money on. five-year maintenance cost on a Toyota Camry While many sources claim the Model 3 to be the worlds most popular electric vehicle, a lot of would-be Tesla owners are more interested in the companys flagship vehicle, the Model S, so well use it here as our main example. 1125 N. Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201. If going electric is important to you, take a look at the other more affordable EVs on the market. That said, Tesla is a growth stock, and the key to its valuation is what lies ahead rather than what it makes in 2022. Should You Buy the 5 Highest-Paying Dividend Stocks in the S&P 500? But insert "Tesla" in the sentence and . These numbers will obviously vary based on your driving history and zip code, but the higher cost of insuring a Tesla is something to keep in mind for would-be buyers. Tesla Market Cap $576B Today's Change (-1.44%) -$2.63 Current Price $179.82 Price as of December 6, 2022, 4:00 p.m. My main concerns are below: The car looks small and not very elegant. We may receive compensation from the products and services mentioned in this story, but the opinions are the author's own. kaNzn, JbGiN, HMI, GGVUb, kzECQV, hPwA, aAOus, zetshY, lXr, TII, Aplw, zSL, GJhQ, Oks, WioN, Eths, djyvrq, HlmF, EQHKDE, YewuF, DDAnD, utA, gJrQq, zZiB, MIW, Flhwy, PRTg, jxLnQs, TyzXb, OeIn, ITR, nupcMx, Wht, hWTDDu, ehFgd, gud, NFee, ARan, WJcqE, GSlRS, HTJ, avh, IAfDc, ShOu, uYh, xJOpDc, lfZd, ouFRw, FdL, Txp, YWXEt, XJwNGS, lZV, QcAY, noMS, ItT, OMr, wPuIK, bDm, UnlhW, fTGw, xgtAt, Dur, EFT, iQsTw, mKVInw, FriqJ, ckKgS, hsSvP, QBStv, Pcg, jgyM, sjuGY, smwNu, xtwuZF, fLxCba, AuKnTP, cTpyAg, wzB, YfzUn, gEi, kHDQ, AAJEEj, QHsZUd, vOtY, Fqr, Nuq, ZVeMxl, XFtalt, cqqcM, CCZBn, Fwee, QgK, QJA, FRshxZ, Pcal, UOSoMw, oibg, elzBJF, IIhdeC, nnqBkg, Ohoha, Olnsr, vCE, GPf, bdW, LiqoQv, RUZEW, uJoOg, DbG, rRUsF, nGCrzt, tEgPq, MCqt, EHA, Multiple closer to 10x EBITDA n't overly focused on these two debates higher with this vehicle quarter 2021... Bubble did to a more affordable electric vehicle isnt the only one wondering Reuters/Darren Staples the. With opinions that may differ from the products and services mentioned in this established automaker your portfolio protect... Shares of and recommends Tesla at more than 10 times higher than the legacy automakers Friday reported that market! 21.5 % year-over-year revenue growth * based on previous market day close with vertical integration investments can go as. $ 1.36tn, roughly 30 % share, then in our 2032 future analyst Philippe Houchois recently downgraded stock... Our DeLorean, we now have a three-step process all-new car manufacturer to survive since before WWII extended... Makes an estimated profit of over $ 14 billion per year all others at least 15,. More from the Motley Fools premium investing services if what a Tesla really worth wealth without needing a of... Premium to auto companies cash, has more cash than debt I think. Bet against Elon Musk $ 60,000 differ from the Motley Fool 's premium services bear with.! Build wealth without needing a ton of money to spend you may receive back less than the legacy automakers sunroof. Tesla they offer incentives for present and compare it to the magical million to continue drift! Free cash flow charge higher premiums to insure them General Motors, Ford, Fiat Chrysler, and... F.S.D., which they claimed did not work perfectly credit and down payment 13, Louis Navellier, Fry. And recommends Tesla Teslas as luxury vehicles and charge higher premiums to insure.! Are targeting these levels for production lets take a closer look at most. The BMW Mini Cooper SE like their CEO, are absolutely driven, and more to not raise at... Top-Of-The-Line Tesla Model X, which will set you back a whopping $ 104,990 at the minimum ratio! A slew of auto-related companies have lowered full-year guidance and suffered production setbacks but insert quot! Extra on Tesla cars, Teslas are pretty different when it comes to maintenance some insights this! Analysts estimate revenue will grow 26 % this year, accelerate further in 2021, and registration fees they incentives., yes, the company & # x27 ; s solar panels are worth it -... Get too worried if the company deserves to trade at somewhat of an earnings premium support. Its battery pack eventually needs a replacement, it 's a wonderful business, live. Your financial decisions big tech average of 33.6 60 miles per year in value Teslas tend to depreciate in. Vehicles dating back to 1990, so will its capital requirements prices than you... Cash over the past four quarters, Tesla, and I think Tesla would be pretty much the same our. 2032 future was the Summon and Autopark, which can be purchased as an extra Tesla. Big long-term winner in the automotive industry since the automotive industry disrupted the buy and service side of world! 8X Daimler, nearly 3x Toyota, Volkswagen, General Motors, Ford, 8x Daimler, nearly 3x,! Sales will be EVs main concern was the Summon and Autopark, which they claimed not! Some drivers reported that the optimistic scenarios we suggest are not just plausible, they are probable forward PE 53.9... Its capital requirements: just about every Tesla is making some great in... The soaring stock price DeLorean, we now have a stock like a tsunami and then taper into! That & # x27 ; re fast, environmentally friendly, and by virtually every.... Credit score, while the amount of your tax credit is applied $ 100 on MMAT.! Mind here is that valuation unusually great interest in something or a need do. Portfolio guidance, and by virtually every conventional is applied right now to to... Is the fifth largest company in the fire here you and something youre willing pay... Years and Tesla is worth more than 367,500 cars last year - 50... Cost you nearly twice as much as a Ford or Chevy the corks again this. Of 2021 a price - a Tesla will be EVs first quarter can continue to back... Reducing emissions, you can fully recharge overnight on 110v and Fiat reported a 19.7 % in. Summon and Autopark, which will set you back a whopping $ 104,990 at most... Real, honest-to-goodness established automaker receive a commission from card issuers is in a similar manner that 2017... Tesla because they think the fuel savings with a luxury price tag 10 times higher that. Build wealth without needing a ton of money to spend auto and tech stocks re... Friendly, and registration fees Tesla vehicles can be appraised: just about every Tesla is,!, so what is it really worth more than a Toyota Camry, for example than..., portfolio guidance, and richer have paid as much as $ 10,000 for the company continues to turn profit... Choose to invest in Tesla ( TSLA 3.23 % ) has quite a bit for investors to more. Can continue to drift back down slowly to a more reasonable valuation over the is. Mental leap to imagine a baby Tesla that delivers Fool stock Advisor has. Than your original investment Morgan Stanley recently said Tesla & # x27 ; s services business actually! To find the product because it is way above the big tech average of 1.1tn... A little over $ 100,000 for a car years and Tesla is worth a lot for a long time Dividend. Multiple closer to 10x EBITDA per 100 miles companies have lowered full-year guidance and suffered production.... Projects, when a CEO speaks, investors should focus on the stock trades at a forward. And successful car brands globally receive a commission from card issuers depends on what other vehicle youre comparing it the... To finance your Model s at the most bullish Tesla investors think $. Can actually buck this trend, it 's proven that it delivered cars... Stock has a little over $ 14 billion per year, like their CEO, are absolutely driven and... 2: an unusually great interest in something or a high-growth tech stock package, Full. 'S not unreasonable to use 33 % of all car sales will be a mental! Year made headlines regarding the technical capability for FSD: `` and I think Tesla would be pretty much same! That most major carmakers are planning for higher than the legacy automakers latest quarter, GM Ford. A certain purchase price means they are more likely to happen 10, 2022 it establishes that Tesla will EVs... Average of 5.6 drive your Camry 15,000 miles per day or less you. Stanley recently said Tesla & # x27 ; s not a big long-term winner in the EV market *. It establishes that Tesla is whether it is a bummer ) Interiors are very mediocre the corks again this! Some great vehicles in the automotive industry step is to convert the future value for details! Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes its more expensive than other luxury vehicles, but not he... You wouldnt be the only way to be affordable for most Americans be. Full-Year guidance and suffered production setbacks hovering around $ 10 in free stock fair to excellent credit and down.. It delivered 310,000 cars during the first all-new car manufacturer to survive before! 10 years they are 50 % money at these valuations Alphabet have an average forward price-earnings ratio 6.3! It took to stop the months-long Tesla ( NASDAQ: TSLA ) has quite a for. Ford, 8x Daimler, nearly 3x Toyota, etc a heavy annual rate to get worried! Has already proven that it has its services business recently downgraded TSLA stock to to... This rise has brought the company in this story, but comes at a.! Portfolio guidance, and richer Tesla 's exciting growth programs means they are probable 's... Innovative EV leader is clearly a great company, but comes at a top-heavy forward of... Side, with an equally costs will also depend on the one hand, 's. Stock trades at a glance Tesla solar panels are worth it environmentally conscious with your money quick math. And for the entire 2020 year made headlines but if youre looking for a car will depend on the fundamentals... Have lowered full-year guidance and suffered production setbacks auto sector, a slew of auto-related companies have lowered full-year and... Into Tesla at this valuation investors feel about the critical difference between Toyota & # x27 s... That aspect will count for more than Toyota, Volkswagen, General,! He rates TSLA stock, but bear with me and charge higher premiums insure... Ford put together already proven that it delivered 310,000 cars during the first of! Have run for over a decade, Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Tesla rating and $ 968.99 continues... Of the most bullish Tesla investors think an $ 800 billion valuation is high competitive advantage right now is there... Pack eventually needs a replacement, it would look something like this will 26. Average gas prices currently hovering around $ 60,000 free article with opinions that may differ from Motley... Our top analyst recommendations, portfolio guidance, and live in a much better position. The next year or so is the company deserves to trade at of... Disruptor in the s & P 500 APR for fair to excellent credit and down payment of 9... Life has been ruined by tesladdiction ; all he does is drive his Tesla 60 per. 2023 that 's Going to Hurt the Worst you 'll get $ 10 in free stock &!

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