Most prospects have either secured their status by checking the boxes in the combine or have tanked their stock in the fantasy community with poor testing. Jerrion Ealy (RB - Ole Miss) Thats why Ive embarked on a search for what I like to call , small school and late third round or Day 3 draft picks who could surprise, , Ive identified a handful of running backs who could be this years, One of the biggest indicators that led me to feature both. Like Pierce, Allgeier landed in a spot that offers a clear chance to see significant touches. High-end college RB producers that display above-average athleticism tend to hit at the next level. The Alabama recruit transferred out to Cincinnati, where he put up a 1500+ yard, 21 TD senior season. Kevin Harris (RB - South Carolina) - PFF's highest-graded rusher (74.9) - and at the NFL Combine. He's already 23 years old, and his projected draft capital per Grindingthemocks.com is 105th as the RB7 off the board. All of these things help to allow him to be effective between the tackles without having the power that you would want from an inside runner. Herbert also rushed for 100 yards against Tampa Bay's defense, which is no small feat. The same sentiment can be made for White's 31% dominator rating - that mark would have ranked third-best over the last two seasons. From our Start/Sit Assistant which provides your optimal lineup, based on accurate consensus projections to our Waiver Wire Assistant that allows you to quickly see which available players will improve your team and by how much weve got you covered this fantasy football season. But be warned that Ealy created little on his own after generating the lowest rate of positive plays after taking contact behind the line of scrimmage. Mitchell and Stevenson headlined the top of last years class in that category and the majority of those featured all showed something as rookies to boost their value entering Year 2. Simply put: When the guy is on the field, he is accumulating yards at a high rate. , Allgeier also finished first in the class in total percentage of carries hit at or behind the line of scrimmage that resulted in positive EPA (32%) - one percentage point above Dameon Pierce. Pierce's current expected draft position per Grindingthemocks.com is RB11 at 126th overall. Darrell Henderson Jr., Los Angeles Rams 2.. So that's why my first rookie sleeper is Rachaad White - who ranks first in this class in yards per snap (3.33). } If he can sneak into Round 4 - current EDP at 180th overall - consider me in on Haskins. While sometimes he can get a little too tentative between the tackles, his patience is generally a positive for his game, and it pairs quite well with his plus vision. Could there be some NFL team needs that are ignored to draft the best players available or even some NFL draft day trades? No first-round running backs doesn't mean the 2022 rookie class of running backs was down, it just indicates the league has smartened on where the position's genuine value is in the draft. Abram Smith (RB - Baylor) If this team falls behind in games, theres no telling which RB will even be on the field. Tier 4: Waiting for Injury - 2015 Rookie Running Back Redraft Rankings. For any small-school running back to make a living in the NFL, they need to dominate their competition in college. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? The fact Pierce competed with NFL talent like Jordan Scarlett and LaMical Perine very early in his college career paints a better picture of how his impact will be felt in years to come. All Antonio Gibson did for the WFT last year is handle 300 touches, gain 1,331 total yards and score 10 touchdowns while playing through a stress fracture in his leg. Joshua Kelley was the guy in 2020 and Larry Rountree was the guy in 2021. The Michigan product also led his entire class in rushing attempts inside the five yard line (29), which gives him a real shot at carving out a goal-line role in the pros, owns PFF's fifth-highest career rushing grade (92.1) among the incoming rookies but falls flat with total production based on his 16% dominator rating. Start Em, Sit Em - Week 14 Matchups Analysis, Who Should I Start for Fantasy Football? However, like Smith, Harris also does not currently have any expected draft capital. WR - Seattle Seahawks - Picks 229/233. has been a monster over the past two seasons, ranking first in rushing yards after contact (1,847), second in rushing touchdowns (36), and third in PFF rushing grade (94.8) among FBS players with at least 150 carries. The first two touches of Brian Robinson's career:11-yard run9-yard catch pic.twitter.com/5FhmpODOcK, NBC Sports Commanders (@NBCSCommanders) August 13, 2022. With the NFL Combine over and done with, we have a pretty good idea of the landscape of this upcoming draft class. Tier 3: FLEX Touches - 2015 Rookie Running Back Redraft Rankings. As I pointed out in my pre-draft 2022 version of "How to Value Rookies in Fantasy Football", fourth round draft capital is not a kiss of death for a running back. Additionally, there are several sleepers from the middle rounds that could emerge as key contributors this season. Which rookie running backs could be sleepers and under-the-radar draft values in dynasty rookie drafts for 2019? His change of direction is just average and seems to have better straight-line speed than lateral agility and explosiveness. He isn't the player that Dobbins is, but that doesn't mean that he can't be productive. all three years at Mississippi, and that seems like his most realistic role at the next level: an undersized but efficient change-of-pace back at 5-foot-8 and 189 pounds. Fantasy Football Rookie Running Backs Tyler Allgeier - Atlanta Falcons. White finished with an 84th percentile speed score and 87th percentile burst score. }); If you liked Dameon Pierce before the NFL Draft, then you should be thrilled about his landing spot in Houston. . The 5-foot-11 and 207-pound back also blazed a 4.37 40-yard dash (95th percentile), tying him with Rutgers' Isiah Pacheco for the fastest running back time. With an identical PFF rushing grade to Breece Hall (91.6) over the last three seasons, Haskins looked primed to exceed expectations in the NFL. Seattle also finished dead-last in targets to the RB position last season, creating serious doubt that Walker will be used in that fashion in any capacity as a rookie. It's almost like the guy used to play defense. There may have been some underlying issue with former Gators head coach Dan Mullen that prevented Pierce from seeing a more featured role. After that, Weber became an afterthought to many dynasty players. broke out in a big way as "the guy" for the Wolverines in 2021. However, he took a back seat to ZaQuandre White as a junior with a meager 14% dominator rating. With an impressive outing at the Senior Bowl - he was named top running back on the National team - Smith needs to be on your rookie radar. Allgeier also displayed an ability to overcome adversity in 2021 after the team lost so many key components - from future New York Jets quarterback. We highlight 16 potential fantasy RB sleepers, from rookies like Joshua Kelley to veteran handcuffs like Darwin . He offers a lot of size at 6-foot-2 and 228 pounds and will leap up draft boards if he tests well at his pro day. We need to be taking swings at this position up and down our drafts, and in every waiver run. His 3.3 yards per play also ranks second among running backs in his class, which is a great indicator of future success, as I made evident throughout this article. Last-Minute Fantasy Football Advice for Week 14 (2022), Fantasy Football Week 14 Rankings: Freedman & Fitz (2022), Week 14 Sunday Night Football Showdown DFS Primer (Dolphins at Chargers), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: DK Metcalf, Diontae Johnson, Damien Harris, DeeJay Dallas (2022), Fantasy Football Injury Updates: Trevor Lawrence, Amari Cooper, Kenneth Walker III, Saquon Barkley (2022), NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. However, the fact Pierce never fully took over Florida's backfield does raise red flags. Since Day 1 at Texas A&M, Spiller has been the lead dog for the Aggies. The high-end production helped the BYU running back post a 28% dominator rating since the start of 2020, capped off by an astounding 36% rating in his final season with the Cougars. He's a 225-pound bruiser who should claim goal-line responsibilities at a minimum. His burst is serviceable, but not exceptional. } else { Published: Aug 25, 2017 at 08:27 AM. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Ozigbo is another patient running back that allows time for blocks to set up in front of him before attacking the line of scrimmage. did in 2020 (45%). He was second in rushing points added per game behind only Kenneth Walker to go along with career highs in receptions (32) and target share (eight percent). They force-fed David Johnson and Mark Ingram II among other veterans last season, despite having some younger players they could give reps to. Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio. And per Sports Info Solutions, Pierce finished with the highest percentage of carries with a positive Expected Points Added. if(isMobile === false){ comes the opportunity to find draft-day bargains. As a player, Myles Gaskin is a crafty runner that does a nice job picking his way through traffic and navigating through the line of scrimmage. That's what gives South Dakota State's Pierre Strong Jr. a chance to make a splash at the next level. This is a big-time matchup for the Jets, and they'll need Wilson to step up and match the offense of Josh Allen and the Bills. 2021 NFL Draft - Top Rookie Running Back Sleepers - Best RB's You've Never Heard OfThe time to talk about Running back sleepers in the NFL Draft has come. Its time for us to review some of the best Rookie Running Back Sleepers for the NFL Draft at the running back position. We could easily see Mack released as much as we could see Pierce become the teams starting running back. Pierce's lackluster dominator rating doesn't capture his coach's potential ineptitude. He has nifty feet that allow him to make defenders miss in space and has good change of direction abilities, despite his larger frame and lack of top-end athleticism. You don't currently have any notifications. The 5-foot-11, 199-pound running back has more than enough heft to manage a decent workload, especially as a receiver out of the backfield. Running Back Sleepers (2022 Fantasy Football) by Andrew Seifter | @andrew_seifter | Featured Writer Sep 7, 2022 While Breece Hall is the darling of the Jets' RB, Michael Carter might be the. as draft day sleepers in my time at PFF prior to the 2021 NFL Draft was a high average yards per snap or scrimmage play. Allgeier is a fifth-round rookie from BYU who rushed for a whopping 1,601 yards and 23 touchdowns last season while catching 28 passes. He's going to have to win by embracing contact, which could shorten his shelf life as a runner. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Allgeier's current expected draft position per Grindingthemocks.com is RB8 at 118th overall. Subscribe:Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts|Stitcher|SoundCloud|iHeartRadio. The dependable 62 224 lb Brian Robinson lands in Washington via the third round of the NFL Draft. His ability as a receiver is good enough that it shouldn't warrant him leaving the field on clear passing downs if he can find a way to earn a starting role. ", fourth round draft capital is not a kiss of death for a running back. A workload of approximately 240 touches based on ESPN fantasy analyst Mike Clays projections and how many touches the cumulative Jets RB1 earned last season would place Hall inside the top-15 considering every running back last season that hit that threshold finished inside that ranking.2021 fourth-rounder Michael Carter had his moments as a rookie, but the Jets know hes just a No. That mark is the best "true" single-season dominator rating in the class. Fantasy football gamers seem to be much higher on White's prospects than the real NFL but fear not. player.setup({ Every year, fantasy football managers fall in love with the newest batch of rookies to enter the league. Chark, Rachaad White, Jerick McKinnon, Zay Jones, James Cook. The 2021 rookie running back class is extremely top heavy with three elite prospects capable of being instant fantasy studs. Sean Lanigan examines three RBs who could make valuable late-round targets.RB. Herbert demonstrated to everyone's satisfaction last season that he's fully capable of serving as a one-for-one replacement for David Montgomery as needed. Allgeier shined with 4.16 yards after contact, ranking tenth among all FBS running backs with 100 or more carries last season (per PFF). Although my one reservation with Pierce is that traditionally New England has been very stingy about featuring rookie running backs historically especially ones drafted late. In redraft formats his ADP is still just outside of the . to the entire starting offensive line. Isaiah Spiller represents the latest rehash of the Chargers trying to find an appropriate thunder to Austin Ekelers lightning, and I for one think Spiller is already the best bet currently on the roster. He's the priority pick in Houston's backfield, without question. But Id be hard-pressed to ignore his impressive age-adjusted production as one of his most encouraging traits. Last year's . Hassan Haskins (RB - Michigan) He's a seventh-round draft pick who averaged just 3.9 YPC at Rutgers last year and never topped 1,000 yards in any collegiate season. While Myles Gaskin is by no means an elite athlete, his average testing actually stood out as a positive among a group of backs that had a lot of players fail to make the basic benchmarks that you would expect. That hardly slowed down the former walk-on, though, as he finished sixth in his class in yards after contact per attempt (4.16) and first in touchdowns (23). Watch any clip of White from college, and you will immediately be overwhelmed by shades of Arian Foster and Le'Veon Bell. If the rookie can't force his way into the mix early in the season, it would be a mild surprise (and also a bad sign). Even during his breakout senior season, the 5-foot-10 and 218-pound running back earned just a 22% dominator rating while sharing the backfield alongside fellow draft-eligible running back Malik Davis. Per. June 1, 2022. Former NFL player and scout Bucky Brooks knows the ins and . Fantasy Football Dynasty Rookie Running Back (RB) Rankings (2022) Last updated: December 7, 2022 These fantasy football rankings are refreshed live every day based on average draft position data generated by the fantasy football mock drafts. He's one of just two draft-eligible running backs that finished top-five in career rushing grade and PFF receiving grade (Tyler Allgeier). He split time with Snoop Conner all three years at Mississippi, and that seems like his most realistic role at the next level: an undersized but efficient change-of-pace back at 5-foot-8 and 189 pounds. The essential RB in fantasy football in any given season can emerge from pretty much anywhere, including the lowest reaches of a lousy team's depth chart. He was a former four-star recruit back in 2020. At the risk of deemphasizing the need for any level of serious draft prep, we'd like to remind you that the most valuable running back in the fantasy playoffs last season was a guy who was likely added via waivers in December. Landing spot will be especially key this year, given the generally low opinion of the entire class, and ADP will change significantly once we know where these players are going to end up. He had only eight carries of 20-plus yards in 2021. He's spent a good deal of time with the first-string Bears offense in camp and seems headed for at least a rotational role. Take a look at the top 10 fantasy football rookie running backs. Why are we comparing Pierre Strong to Elijah Mitchell when we can use his real comp, Darren McFadden pic.twitter.com/hXbBzUaXvP, JetPack Galileo (@JetPackGalileo) April 7, 2022. White checks off essentially every box you could ask for in a prospect, except for two things: age and expected draft capital. Dameon Pierce (RB - Florida) He was also . I took a look at three running backs that could potentially impactdynasty assets that are falling outside of the first two rounds in 12 man dynasty rookie drafts. In order to dominate your fantasy football leagues, you must capitalize on major ADP Values and sleepers being taken too late in . Even during his breakout senior season, the 5-foot-10 and 218-pound running back earned just a 22% dominator rating while sharing the backfield alongside fellow draft-eligible running back Malik Davis. }); Spiller also displayed receiving prowess, commanding at least an 8% target share and an average of 25 receptions per season. Cordarrelle Patterson was the surprise of 2021. That's what gives South Dakota State's. He's one of just two draft-eligible running backs that finished top-five in career rushing grade and PFF receiving grade (. He was second in rushing points added per game behind only Kenneth Walker to go along with. When it comes to, , we have to dig pretty deep. and under-the-radar players is one of the most fun parts of our fake game, but the process has changed over the last few years with so much information now at our disposal. His 12% career dominator rating is eerily similar to. Wide receiver Alec Pierce Indianapolis Colts rookie wideout. The power running back capped off his first year in impressive fashion with back-to-back seasons of 1,000 rushing yards and 100 missed tackles. Dameon Pierce took the title as PFF's highest-graded running back in the FBS (92.0) despite seeing just 100 carries. 1. His 16% target share is bonkers for a running back at the college level and should boost his draft capital. Sadly he bombed his athletic testing and fell in the draft before Atlanta scooped him up. "playlist": "https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/eLrF3y9x", The dynasty community tends to have their favorite and least favorite prospects by now, and rookie ADP will change very little between now and the actual NFL Draft. That outburst represented 87 percent of his total yardage for the season and an outrageous 39 percent of his career production. However, I am willing to offer some benefit of the doubt after Pierce never topped 106 carries in college. Tyler Badie has been going under the radar for most of his college career. Allgeier closed out his career at BYU with a pummeling 275 carry season that he turned into 1,611 rushing yards. He made the switch back to running back for his senior season and delivered massively with 1,598 rushing yards (fifth) - 1,011 of which came after contact. Set your winning lineups with our Week 14 NFL rankings for fantasy football. After declining Josh Jacobs fifth-year option, the Raiders could enter 2023 with only Zamir White and Brandon Bolden as the only running backs under contract. He was a productive runner for Ohio State before eventually being overtaken by future dynasty first-round rookie pick J.K. Dobbins. For starters, he's the Kansas City Chiefs' clear-cut No. So that's why my first rookie sleeper is Rachaad White - who ranks first in this class in yards per snap (3.33). Devine Ozigbo seems to be severely underrated by the dynasty community right now. As I pointed out in my pre-draft 2022 version of ". After researching and writing up my 2022 rookie dynasty rankings, Ive identified a handful of running backs who could be this years Rhamondre Stevenson or fingers crossed Elijah Mitchell. Nyheim Hines: RB40. With that said, here are the top five fantasy football rookie sleepers in 2022. White checks off essentially every box you could ask for in a prospect, except for two things: age and expected draft capital. There may have been some underlying issue with former Gators head coach Dan Mullen that prevented Pierce from seeing a more featured role. Pacheco has been one of the buzziest players in any team's training camp, but don't feel too bad if you didn't see it coming. 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